FORECASTING DISCIPLINITY OF COURSES OF MILITARY HIGHER EDUCATION

Introduction. Discipline is the basis of the army. The study of personal characteristics of servicemen with low discipline will allow to find effective methods of increasing discipline. The purpose of the work: to develop a model for predicting the discipline of cadets of the Naval Academy named after N. G. Kuznetsov. Materials and methods. 102 cadets of the Naval Academy named after N. G. Kuznetsov were examined in 2–3 courses of study at the age of 18–23 years. According to the level of expert assessment, the commanders of the level of discipline are divided into two groups with high and low discipline. Methods are used: the level of correlation of value and accessibility in various life spheres, the scale of psychological wellbeing, the test of reflexivity, the semantic differential. Results of the study. Mathematical modeling of the forecast of discipline of cadets of the Naval Academy named after N. G. Kuznetsov using discriminant analysis. Predictors of discipline of military cadets are a combination of personal emotional attitude to concepts: material well-being and the future, the value of such concepts as love and interesting work, the discrepancy between value and availability of material well-being, reflexivity. Conclusions. The mathematical model of forecasting the discipline of cadets of a military higher educational institution can be used in the framework of medical and psychological support for cadets of military universities.